Political Science

Emergence of protests during the COVID-19 pandemic: quantitative models to explore the contributions of societal conditions

K. V. D. Zwet, A. I. Barros, et al.

Explore the intricate dynamics of global protests during the COVID-19 pandemic! This research, conducted by Koen van der Zwet, Ana I. Barros, Tom M. van Engers, and Peter M. A. Sloot, unveils the crucial variables influencing the timing and intensity of protests, drawing on comprehensive quantitative analyses across 27 countries.

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Playback language: English

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Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic witnessed a surge in global protests. This paper investigates the relationship between societal conditions and protest emergence during this period using a holistic approach. A literature review identified key contributing factors, captured in a causal loop diagram. Quantitative analysis compared protest dynamics across 27 countries, employing statistical and computational modeling (systems dynamics). Results highlight the need for models that better capture the complexity of protest dynamics, suggesting that variables reflecting both fast and slow changes in social systems are crucial for understanding both the timing and intensity of protests.

Publisher

Humanities and Social Sciences Communications

Published On

Mar 02, 2022

Authors

Koen van der Zwet, Ana I. Barros, Tom M. van Engers, Peter M. A. Sloot

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