Agriculture

The Russia-Ukraine war decreases food affordability but could reduce global greenhouse gas emissions

H. V. Meijl, H. Bartelings, et al.

This groundbreaking scenario study by Hans van Meijl and colleagues explores the medium-term consequences of the Russia-Ukraine war on global agriculture. It reveals how rising food and energy prices impact low-income populations while assessing agricultural production's effects on biodiversity and greenhouse gas emissions.

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Playback language: English

Index

Abstract

This model-based scenario study quantifies the medium-term effects of the Russia-Ukraine war on agricultural production, trade, market prices, food security, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions. The study finds that while global food availability remains sufficient, higher food and energy prices disproportionately impact low-income populations. Increased agricultural production elsewhere could threaten biodiversity, but overall greenhouse gas emissions might decrease due to reduced fossil fuel use.

Publisher

COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT

Published On

Jan 30, 2024

Authors

Hans van Meijl, Heleen Bartelings, Siemen van Berkum, Hao David Cui, Zuzana Smeets Kristková, Willem Jan van Zeist

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