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Safeguarding China's long-term sustainability against systemic disruptors

Environmental Studies and Forestry

Safeguarding China's long-term sustainability against systemic disruptors

K. Li, L. Gao, et al.

This research conducted by Ke Li, Lei Gao, Zhaoxia Guo, Yucheng Dong, Enayat A. Moallemi, Gang Kou, Meiqian Chen, Wenhao Lin, Qi Liu, Michael Obersteiner, Matteo Pedercini, and Brett A. Bryan explores how five systemic disruptors could shape China's sustainability trajectory. Using an advanced simulation model and aligning with UN's SDGs, the study reveals the critical role of policy interventions in tackling aging populations and climate change challenges.

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Playback language: English
Abstract
This study assesses the impact of five systemic disruptors (pandemic disease, aging population, deglobalization, climate change, biodiversity loss) on China's long-term sustainability, using an integrated simulation model (iSDG-China) and the UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a framework. The model projects significant negative impacts, particularly from aging populations and climate change. However, an integrated policy portfolio addressing education, healthcare, energy transition, water efficiency, and ecological conservation can significantly improve sustainability outcomes.
Publisher
Nature Communications
Published On
Jun 24, 2024
Authors
Ke Li, Lei Gao, Zhaoxia Guo, Yucheng Dong, Enayat A. Moallemi, Gang Kou, Meiqian Chen, Wenhao Lin, Qi Liu, Michael Obersteiner, Matteo Pedercini, Brett A. Bryan
Tags
China
sustainability
systemic disruptors
policy intervention
climate change
aging population
UN Sustainable Development Goals
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