Combined short-term and long-term emission controls improve air quality sustainably in China

The effectiveness of national policies for air pollution control has been demonstrated, but the relative effectiveness of short-term emission reduction measures in comparison with national policies has not. Here we show that short-term abatement measures during important international events substantially reduced PM2.5 concentrations, but air quality rebounded to pre-event levels after the measures ceased. Long-term adherence to strict emission reduction policies led to successful decreases of 54% in PM2.5 concentrations in Beijing, and 23% in atmospheric nitrogen deposition in China from 2012 to 2020. Incentivized by "blue skies" type campaigns, economic development and reactive nitrogen pollution are quickly decoupled, showing that a combination of inspiring but aggressive short-term measures and effective but durable long-term policies delivers sustainable air quality improvement. However, increased ammonia concentrations, transboundary pollutant flows, and the complexity to achieving reduction targets under climate change scenarios, underscore the need for the synergistic control of multiple pollutants and inter-regional action.

Zhang Wen, Xin Ma, Wen Xu, Ruotong Si, Lei Liu, Mingrui Ma, Yuanhong Zhao, Aohan Tang, Yangyang Zhang, Kai Wang, Ying Zhang, Jianlin Shen, Lin Zhang, Yu Zhao, Fusuo Zhang, Keith Goulding, Xuejun Liu