This study investigates the relationship between marine heatwaves (MHWs) and the rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Gulf of Mexico and northwestern Caribbean Sea. A probabilistic analysis using historical data (1950-2022) reveals that approximately 70% of hurricanes were influenced by MHWs, and RI is 50% more likely during these events. The increasing frequency of MHWs due to climate change suggests a higher likelihood of future RI events.
Publisher
Communications Earth & Environment
Published On
Aug 09, 2024
Authors
Soheil Radfar, Hamed Moftakhari, Hamid Moradkhani
Tags
marine heatwaves
rapid intensification
tropical cyclones
hurricanes
climate change
Gulf of Mexico
Caribbean Sea
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