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Abstract
Flash droughts, characterized by rapid onset and intensification, pose significant threats to agriculture and ecosystems. This study utilizes in situ observations, reanalysis data, and Earth system models to investigate the changing characteristics and impacts of flash droughts globally. The findings reveal an increase in flash drought frequency, faster onset, and longer duration, leading to greater exposure for agricultural areas, forests, and populations. Concurrent hot and dry conditions driven by warming are identified as the primary intensifying factor. However, CMIP6 models underestimate the acceleration of flash drought onset and their occurrence driven by precipitation deficits or heat waves, highlighting the need for model improvement to accurately represent the short-timescale covariability of climatic variables.
Publisher
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published On
Sep 07, 2023
Authors
Zhaoqi Zeng, Wenxiang Wu, Josep Peñuelas, Yamei Li, Wenzhe Jiao, Zhaolei Li, Xinshuai Ren, Ke Wang, Quansheng Ge
Tags
flash droughts
climate change
agriculture
ecosystems
global impacts
climatic variables
CMIP6 models
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