Environmental Studies and Forestry

Evaluating the climate impact of aviation emission scenarios towards the Paris agreement including COVID-19 effects

V. Grewe, A. G. Rao, et al.

This research delves into the impact of aviation on climate change, revealing that even with ambitious technological advances and sustainable fuels, the sector is unlikely to meet its climate targets. Conducted by a team of experts including Volker Grewe and Arvind Gangoli Rao, the study presents a sobering view of the sector's role in global warming.

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Abstract

This paper models the effect of measures to reduce aviation's climate impact on global warming, performing a bottom-up analysis of potential technical improvements and challenging assumptions of sector targets. The authors conclude that, despite emission targets aligning with the Paris Agreement, aviation's climate impact is unlikely to meet these goals, even considering feasible technological advancements and sustainable aviation fuels. This conclusion holds across various COVID-19 recovery scenarios.

Publisher

Nature Communications

Published On

Jun 22, 2021

Authors

Volker Grewe, Arvind Gangoli Rao, Tomas Grönstedt, Carlos Xisto, Florian Linke, Joris Melkert, Jan Middel, Barbara Ohlenforst, Simon Blakey, Simon Christie, Sigrun Matthes, Katrin Dahlmann

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