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Assessing the extent and persistence of major crisis events in the crude oil market and economy: evidence from the past 30 years

Economics

Assessing the extent and persistence of major crisis events in the crude oil market and economy: evidence from the past 30 years

Q. Zhang, Y. Hu, et al.

Explore the intriguing findings of a study conducted by Qi Zhang, Yi Hu, Jianbin Jiao, and Shouyang Wang on the persistent impacts of major crisis events in the crude oil market. Discover how geopolitical conflicts and financial crises have reshaped oil production and prices in China and the US, with long-lasting effects that demand strategic policy responses.

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Playback language: English
Abstract
This study investigates the extent and persistence of major crisis events in the crude oil market and economy using a Proxy-SVAR model on 50 major crisis events across four categories. Results show substantial impacts on crude oil production, prices, and inflation in China and the US, with geopolitical conflicts severely impacting the S&P500 and industrial production. Financial crises had the most prolonged impact (four years), while COVID-19's impact on the oil market lasted over three years. Four policy measures are suggested to enhance economic resilience.
Publisher
HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS
Published On
Jul 12, 2024
Authors
Qi Zhang, Yi Hu, Jianbin Jiao, Shouyang Wang
Tags
crude oil market
crisis events
Proxy-SVAR model
geopolitical conflicts
financial crises
economic resilience
COVID-19 impact
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