This study analyzes the impact of technology availability, political coordination, and behavioral change on achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions in the European Union by 2050. Using a global multi-regional energy-economy-land-climate model and an iterative stakeholder dialogue, the study finds that scenarios without behavioral change and with technology restrictions make the target challenging. High CO2 prices (€100-€450/tCO2 by 2030) are needed depending on the scenario, with the highest prices resulting from constrained technologies and lack of complementary policies or behavioral changes.
Publisher
Nature Communications
Published On
Sep 30, 2024
Authors
Jessica Strefler, Leon Merfort, Nico Bauer, Miodrag Stevanović, Dennis Tänzler, Florian Humpenöder, David Klein, Gunnar Luderer, Michaja Pehl, Robert C. Pietzcker, Alexander Popp, Renato Rodrigues, Marianna Rottoli, Elmar Krieger
Tags
net-zero emissions
European Union
technology impact
CO2 pricing
behavioral change
political coordination
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