Environmental Studies and Forestry

Societal drought vulnerability and the Syrian climate-conflict nexus are better explained by agriculture than meteorology

L. Eklund, O. M. Theisen, et al.

This study challenges the widely held narrative that drought drove agricultural collapse and conflict in Syria. By analyzing satellite-derived data, the researchers reveal that croplands rebounded quickly after the 2007-2009 drought, calling into question the links between climate change, migration, and violence. Conducted by Lina Eklund, Ole Magnus Theisen, Matthias Baumann, Andreas Forø Tollefsen, Tobias Kuemmerle, and Jonas Østergaard Nielsen, this research prompts a reconsideration of how we understand drought-related conflict risk.

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