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Rapid intensification of tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico is more likely during marine heatwaves

Earth Sciences

Rapid intensification of tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico is more likely during marine heatwaves

S. Radfar, H. Moftakhari, et al.

Discover how marine heatwaves are fueling the rapid intensification of tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico and northwestern Caribbean Sea. This groundbreaking research by Soheil Radfar, Hamed Moftakhari, and Hamid Moradkhani reveals that 70% of hurricanes are influenced by these heatwaves, with a 50% increase in the likelihood of rapid intensification amid this trend!

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Playback language: English
Abstract
This study investigates the relationship between marine heatwaves (MHWs) and the rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Gulf of Mexico and northwestern Caribbean Sea. A probabilistic analysis using historical data (1950-2022) reveals that approximately 70% of hurricanes were influenced by MHWs, and RI is 50% more likely during these events. The increasing frequency of MHWs due to climate change suggests a higher likelihood of future RI events.
Publisher
Communications Earth & Environment
Published On
Aug 09, 2024
Authors
Soheil Radfar, Hamed Moftakhari, Hamid Moradkhani
Tags
marine heatwaves
rapid intensification
tropical cyclones
hurricanes
climate change
Gulf of Mexico
Caribbean Sea

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