Sociology

Projecting the long-term effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on U.S. population structure

A. M. Tilstra, A. Polizzi, et al.

Discover the groundbreaking research by Andrea M. Tilstra, Antonino Polizzi, Sander Wagner, and Evelina T. Akimova, as they unveil the long-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the U.S. population structure. Their findings reveal the dramatic consequences of mortality, fertility, and migration changes up to 2060, shedding light on future demographic trends.

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Abstract

This study investigates the long-term effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the U.S. population structure using data from the United Nations World Population Prospects and the cohort component projection method. The research examines the combined impact of pandemic-induced changes in mortality, fertility, and migration on population size and age distribution until 2060. The findings highlight the significant long-term effects of reduced migration, a decline in the reproductive-aged population, and the impact of increased mortality on the dependency ratio.

Publisher

Nature Communications

Published On

Mar 18, 2024

Authors

Andrea M. Tilstra, Antonino Polizzi, Sander Wagner, Evelina T. Akimova

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