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Preseason maize and wheat yield forecasts for early warning of crop failure

Agriculture

Preseason maize and wheat yield forecasts for early warning of crop failure

W. Anderson, S. Shukla, et al.

This groundbreaking research showcases the impressive ability of global preseason crop yield forecasts, especially for maize and wheat, thanks to innovative climate forecasting techniques. The study features contributions from authors including Weston Anderson, Shraddhanand Shukla, and others, revealing significant advancements in early warning systems for food security.

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Playback language: English
Abstract
This paper demonstrates the feasibility and skill of global preseason crop yield forecasts, leveraging advances in climate forecasting. Globally, maize and wheat forecasts are skillful up to a year ahead of harvest for 15% and 30% of harvested areas, respectively, with higher skill in specific regions. Wheat forecasts remain skillful beyond 18 months in some locations. This highlights the potential for improving food security early warning systems.
Publisher
Nature Communications
Published On
Aug 23, 2024
Authors
Weston Anderson, Shraddhanand Shukla, Jim Verdin, Andrew Hoell, Christina Justice, Brian Barker, Kimberly Slinski, Nathan Lenssen, Jiale Lou, Benjamin I. Cook, Amy McNally
Tags
crop yield
climate forecasting
food security
maize
wheat
early warning systems
agriculture

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