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Abstract
This paper demonstrates the feasibility and skill of global preseason crop yield forecasts, leveraging advances in climate forecasting. Globally, maize and wheat forecasts are skillful up to a year ahead of harvest for 15% and 30% of harvested areas, respectively, with higher skill in specific regions. Wheat forecasts remain skillful beyond 18 months in some locations. This highlights the potential for improving food security early warning systems.
Publisher
Nature Communications
Published On
Aug 23, 2024
Authors
Weston Anderson, Shraddhanand Shukla, Jim Verdin, Andrew Hoell, Christina Justice, Brian Barker, Kimberly Slinski, Nathan Lenssen, Jiale Lou, Benjamin I. Cook, Amy McNally
Tags
crop yield
climate forecasting
food security
maize
wheat
early warning systems
agriculture

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