Environmental Studies and Forestry

Perceived feasibility and potential barriers of a net-zero system transition among Japanese experts

Y. Ju, M. Sugiyama, et al.

Discover a groundbreaking framework that evaluates the feasibility and obstacles of Japan's net-zero transition, based on insights from over 100 experts, including authors Yiyi Ju, Masahiro Sugiyama, and Hiroto Shiraki. While support for the net-zero goal thrives, intriguing disparities in feasibility ratings reveal significant barriers rooted in national conditions.

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Abstract

This paper presents a framework for assessing the perceived feasibility and multi-dimensional barriers to a net-zero transition in Japan. A survey of over 100 experts revealed that while most supported the desirability of the net-zero goal, the feasibility was assessed at a probability of 33-66%. Differences emerged between integrated assessment modelers and IPCC authors, highlighting areas for further exploration. Identified barriers reflected unique national conditions, including limitations in national strategies and clean energy supply. The framework is extensible to non-experts and data-scarce contexts.

Publisher

Communications Earth & Environment

Published On

Nov 23, 2023

Authors

Yiyi Ju, Masahiro Sugiyama, Hiroto Shiraki

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