Medicine and Health

Model-based evaluation of school- and non-school-related measures to control the COVID-19 pandemic

G. Rozhnova, C. H. V. Dorp, et al.

This study reveals how school-based measures impact the transmission of COVID-19 in the Netherlands, emphasizing that the effectiveness of school closures heavily relies on the accompanying non-school measures. Conducted by Ganna Rozhnova, Christiaan H. van Dorp, Patricia Bruijning-Verhagen, Martin C. J. Bootsma, Janneke H. H. M. van de Wijgert, Marc J. M. Bonten, and Mirjam E. Kretzschmar, the findings suggest a nuanced approach to pandemic management is critical.

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Abstract

This study uses an age-structured transmission model fitted to Dutch COVID-19 data to assess the impact of school-based measures at different pandemic stages. The findings suggest that the effectiveness of school closures depends heavily on the stringency of non-school-related measures. When non-school measures are insufficient to control the pandemic (Re near 1), school closures, particularly for older children, can significantly reduce Re. Conversely, if non-school measures effectively reduce Re, the added benefit of school closures is minimal.

Publisher

Nature Communications

Published On

Mar 12, 2021

Authors

Ganna Rozhnova, Christiaan H. van Dorp, Patricia Bruijning-Verhagen, Martin C. J. Bootsma, Janneke H. H. M. van de Wijgert, Marc J. M. Bonten, Mirjam E. Kretzschmar

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