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Abstract
This study models changes in the distribution of key grassland species in East Africa under climate change using a combination of global and regional climate models and a machine learning-based species distribution model. The results show a reduction in the co-occurrence of analyzed grass species under a high-emission scenario by the end of the 21st century, particularly in the Turkana region, suggesting potentially negative impacts on pastoralism and wildlife.
Publisher
Communications Earth & Environment
Published On
Oct 17, 2024
Authors
Martina Messmer, Sandra Eckert, Amor Torre-Marin Rando, Mark Snethlage, Santos J. González-Rojí, Kaspar Hurni, Urs Beyerle, Andreas Hemp, Staline Kibet, Thomas F. Stocker
Tags
grassland species
climate change
East Africa
species distribution model
pastoralism
wildlife

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