logo
ResearchBunny Logo
Is the worst of the COVID-19 global pandemic yet to come? Application of financial mathematics as candidate predictive tools

Medicine and Health

Is the worst of the COVID-19 global pandemic yet to come? Application of financial mathematics as candidate predictive tools

P. Dogra, E. J. Koay, et al.

This exciting research, conducted by Prashant Dogra and colleagues, delves into the predictive power of the Elliott Wave Principle in understanding the emotional drivers behind the COVID-19 pandemic. The team analyzes daily case data to offer insightful projections, from optimistic rapid vaccination scenarios to concerning outcomes of poor adherence to health measures.

00:00
00:00
Playback language: English
Abstract
This paper explores the application of the Elliott Wave Principle, a financial market prediction method based on crowd psychology, to predict the future evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic. The authors hypothesize that human emotions driving pandemic-related behaviors (vaccination rates, adherence to preventive measures) can be modeled similarly to those influencing financial markets. They analyze daily new case data for various countries and extrapolate potential scenarios ranging from a best-case (rapid, full vaccination) to a worst-case (slow vaccination, poor adherence to preventive measures).
Publisher
Translational Psychiatry
Published On
Jan 31, 2021
Authors
Prashant Dogra, Eugene J. Koay, Zhihui Wang, Farhaan S. Vahidy, Mauro Ferrari, Renata Pasqualini, Wadih Arap, Marc L. Boom, H. Dirk Sostman, Vittorio Cristini
Tags
Elliott Wave Principle
COVID-19
crowd psychology
vaccination rates
predictive modeling
pandemic behaviors
public health

Related Publications

Explore these studies to deepen your understanding of the subject.

Assessment of COVID-19 as the underlying cause of death among children and young people aged 0 to 19 years in the US
Medicine and Health

Assessment of COVID-19 as the underlying cause of death among children and young people aged 0 to 19 years in the US

F. S, W. C, et al.

The Breadth of the Neutralizing Antibody Response to Original SARS-CoV-2 Infection is Linked to the Presence of Long COVID Symptoms
Biology

The Breadth of the Neutralizing Antibody Response to Original SARS-CoV-2 Infection is Linked to the Presence of Long COVID Symptoms

A. M. Buck, A. N. Deitchman, et al.

Monkeypox outbreaks in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic: Network and clustering analyses of global risks and modified SEIR prediction of epidemic trends
Medicine and Health

Monkeypox outbreaks in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic: Network and clustering analyses of global risks and modified SEIR prediction of epidemic trends

S. Luo, Jg, et al.

Non-coresident family as a driver of migration change in a crisis: the case of the COVID-19 pandemic
Sociology

Non-coresident family as a driver of migration change in a crisis: the case of the COVID-19 pandemic

U. Kan, J. Mcleod, et al.

Listen, Learn & Level Up
Over 10,000 hours of research content in 25+ fields, available in 12+ languages.
No more digging through PDFs, just hit play and absorb the world's latest research in your language, on your time.
listen to research audio papers with researchbunny