Does socioeconomic and environmental burden affect vulnerability to extreme air pollution and heat? A case-crossover study of mortality in California

BACKGROUND: Extreme heat and air pollution is associated with increased mortality. Recent evidence suggests the combined effects of both is greater than the effects of each individual exposure. Low neighborhood socioeconomic status ("socioeconomic burden") has also been associated with increased exposure and vulnerability to both heat and air pollution. We investigated if neighborhood socioeconomic burden or the combination of socioeconomic and environmental exposures ("socioenvironmental burden") modified the effect of combined exposure to extreme heat and particulate air pollution on mortality in California. METHODS: We used a time-stratified case-crossover design to assess the impact of daily exposure to extreme particulate matter <2.5 µm (PM2.5) and heat on cardiovascular, respiratory, and all-cause mortality in California 2014-2019. Daily average PM2.5 and maximum temperatures based on decedent's residential census tract were dichotomized as extreme or not. Census tract-level socioenvironmental and socioeconomic burden was assessed with the CalEnviroScreen (CES) score and a social deprivation index (SDI), and individual educational attainment was derived from death certificates. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate associations of heat and PM2.5 with mortality with a product term used to evaluate effect measure modification. RESULTS: During the study period 1,514,292 all-cause deaths could be assigned residential exposures. Extreme heat and air pollution alone and combined were associated with increased mortality, matching prior reports. Decedents in census tracts with higher socioenvironmental and socioeconomic burden experienced more days with extreme PM2.5 exposure. However, we found no consistent effect measure modification by CES or SDI on combined or separate extreme heat and PM2.5 exposure on odds of total, cardiovascular or respiratory mortality. No effect measure modification was observed for individual education attainment. CONCLUSION: We did not find evidence that neighborhood socioenvironmental- or socioeconomic burden significantly influenced the individual or combined impact of extreme exposures to heat and PM2.5 on mortality in California.

Mehjar Azzouz, Zainab Hasan, Md Mostafijur Rahman, W. James Gauderman, Melissa Lorenzo, Frederick W. Lurmann, Sandrah P. Eckel, Lawrence Palinkas, Jill Johnston, Michael Hurlburt, Sam J. Silva, Hannah Schlaerth, Joseph Ko, George Ban-Weiss, Rob McConnell, Leo Stockfelt, Erika Garcia