Data-driven connectivity profiles relate to smoking cessation outcomes

At a group level, nicotine dependence is linked to differences in resting-state functional connectivity (rs-FC) within and between three large-scale brain networks: the salience network (SN), default mode network (DMN), and frontoparietal network (FPN). Yet, individuals may display distinct patterns of rs-FC that impact treatment outcomes. This study used a data-driven approach, Group Iterative Multiple Model Estimation (GIMME), to characterize shared and person-specific rs-FC features linked with clinically-relevant treatment outcomes. 49 nicotine-dependent adults completed a resting-state fMRI scan prior to a two-week smoking cessation attempt. We used GIMME to identify group, subgroup, and individual-level networks of SN, DMN, and FPN connectivity. Regression models assessed whether within- and between-network connectivity of individual rs-FC models was associated with baseline cue-induced craving, and craving and use of regular cigarettes (i.e., "slips") during cessation. As a group, participants displayed shared patterns of connectivity within all three networks, and connectivity between the SN-FPN and DMN-SN. However, there was substantial heterogeneity across individuals. Individuals with greater within-network SN connectivity experienced more slips during treatment, while individuals with greater DMN-FPN connectivity experienced fewer slips. Individuals with more anticorrelated DMN-SN connectivity reported lower craving during treatment, while SN-FPN connectivity was linked to higher craving. In conclusion, in nicotine-dependent adults, GIMME identified substantial heterogeneity within and between the large-scale brain networks. Individuals with greater SN connectivity may be at increased risk for relapse during treatment, while a greater positive DMN-FPN and negative DMN-SN connectivity may be protective for individuals during smoking cessation treatment.