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Business-as-usual will lead to super and ultra-extreme heatwaves in the Middle East and North Africa

Earth Sciences

Business-as-usual will lead to super and ultra-extreme heatwaves in the Middle East and North Africa

G. Zittis, P. Hadjinicolaou, et al.

This groundbreaking research conducted by George Zittis and colleagues reveals alarming projections for future heatwaves in the MENA region, with temperatures soaring above 56°C by the latter half of the century. These intense heatwaves could severely affect nearly 600 million people, primarily in urban areas.

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Playback language: English
Abstract
This paper projects future heatwaves in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) using the Heat Wave Magnitude Index and an ensemble of regional climate projections. Under a business-as-usual scenario, unprecedented super- and ultra-extreme heatwaves (temperatures up to 56°C and higher, lasting several weeks) will emerge by the latter half of the century, potentially impacting nearly 600 million people, mostly in urban centers.
Publisher
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published On
Mar 23, 2021
Authors
George Zittis, Panos Hadjinicolaou, Mansour Almazroui, Edoardo Bucchignani, Fatima Dirouech, Khalid El Rhaz, Levent Kurnaz, Grigory Nikulin, Athanasios Ntoumos, Tugba Ozturk, Yiannis Proestos, Georgiy Stenchikov, Rashyd Zaaboul, Jos Lelieveld
Tags
heatwaves
MENA
climate projections
urban centers
super extreme heat
heat magnitude index
climate impact

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