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Varying climatic-social-geographical patterns shape the conflict risk at regional and global scales

Political Science

Varying climatic-social-geographical patterns shape the conflict risk at regional and global scales

M. Hao, F. Ding, et al.

Explore how climatic conditions are reshaping armed conflict risks in Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia. This research by Mengmeng Hao, Fangyu Ding, Xiaolan Xie, Jingying Fu, Yushu Qian, Tobias Ide, Jean-François Maystadt, Shuai Chen, Quansheng Ge, and Dong Jiang reveals vital Climatic-Social-Geographical patterns that call for tailored conflict prevention strategies.

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Playback language: English
Abstract
This study investigates the factors influencing armed conflict risk in Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia using a machine learning approach. The analysis reveals a growing impact of climatic conditions on conflict risk over the past decades, varying regionally. The study also identifies distinct Climatic-Social-Geographical (C-S-G) patterns characterizing armed conflict risks across these regions, highlighting the need for region-specific conflict prevention strategies.
Publisher
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications
Published On
Aug 17, 2022
Authors
Mengmeng Hao, Fangyu Ding, Xiaolan Xie, Jingying Fu, Yushu Qian, Tobias Ide, Jean-François Maystadt, Shuai Chen, Quansheng Ge, Dong Jiang
Tags
armed conflict
climatic conditions
Sub-Saharan Africa
Middle East
South Asia
conflict risk
machine learning

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