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Abstract
This paper investigates whether mandated interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic had similar economic and public health effects as spontaneous behavioral changes, focusing on socioeconomic disparities. Using a data-driven agent-based model simulating epidemic and economic outcomes across various socioeconomic groups in the New York metropolitan area, the study finds a similar trade-off between epidemic and economic outcomes regardless of whether behavioral changes were driven by fear or mandated non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). Low-income workers in in-person, customer-facing industries experienced the strongest trade-off.
Publisher
Nature Human Behaviour
Published On
Nov 16, 2023
Authors
Marco Pangallo, Alberto Aleta, R. Maria del Rio-Chanona, Anton Pichler, David Martín-Corral, Matteo Chinazzi, François Lafond, Marco Ajelli, Esteban Moro, Yamir Moreno, Alessandro Vespignani, J. Doyne Farmer
Tags
COVID-19
economic impact
public health
socioeconomic disparities
behavioral changes
non-pharmaceutical interventions

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