Health and Fitness

Precise control balances epidemic mitigation and economic growth

Y. Wang, G. Zheng, et al.

Explore how China's Health Code system strikes a balance between epidemic control and economic growth during COVID-19. This study by Yiheng Wang and colleagues reveals a strategy that could reduce deaths by 97% and improve GDP by 1%, all while managing medical costs effectively.

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Abstract

This paper investigates the effectiveness of China's Health Code system in balancing epidemic mitigation and economic growth during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using an infection component model, the study finds that a "Precise control" strategy, utilizing the Health Code to target quarantines, reduces deaths by 97% and improves GDP by 1% compared to "No control" or city shutdown policies, while incurring only 43% of the medical costs. However, effectiveness diminishes if the basic reproductive number (R₀) exceeds 16.5.

Publisher

npj Urban Sustainability

Published On

May 31, 2024

Authors

Yiheng Wang, Guanjie Zheng, Hexi Jin, Yi Sun, Kan Wu, Jie Fang

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