Effects of climate change on the movement of future landfalling | ResearchBunny

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Abstract

This paper investigates how climate change will affect the movement of future landfalling Texas tropical cyclones (TCs), focusing on their translation speed. Using multiple large-ensemble/multi-model datasets and downscaling techniques, the study finds stronger northward steering winds over Texas in the future, leading to faster-moving TCs. A cluster analysis shows more frequent circulation regimes steering TCs northward. Downscaling experiments indicate a 10-percentage-point shift from slow-moving to fast-moving TCs in the late 21st century.

Publisher

Nature Communications

Published On

Jul 03, 2020

Authors

Pedram Hassanzadeh, Chia-Ying Lee, Ebrahim Nabizadeh, Suzana J. Camargo, Ding Ma, Laurence Y. Yeung

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