Ecological forecasts for marine resource management during climate extremes

This paper explores the potential of existing marine management tools to transition into a forecasting configuration for proactive decision-making during climate extremes. Using two case studies in the California Current Ecosystem (CCE), the authors demonstrate the capacity for skillful ecological forecasts up to 12 months in advance using ocean temperature anomalies. The study highlights the effectiveness of global forecasts, even without regional downscaling, and discusses the trade-offs between global and downscaled forecasts.

Stephanie Brodie, Mercedes Pozo Buil, Heather Welch, Steven J. Bograd, Elliott L. Hazen, Jarrod A. Santora, Rachel Seary, Isaac D. Schroeder, Michael G. Jacox