Environmental Studies and Forestry

Can we project well-being? Towards integral well-being projections in climate models and beyond

K. Liu, R. Wang, et al.

This groundbreaking research by Kedi Liu, Ranran Wang, Inge Schrijver, and Rutger Hoekstra investigates the future of global well-being using the Human Development Index (HDI) projections up to 2100. The study reveals that while most countries may achieve high human development under favorable Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, there is a significant oversight in current climate models regarding the impact of climate change on well-being. Discover how their innovative approach could reshape well-being projections.

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Abstract

This paper explores the projection of well-being using the Human Development Index (HDI) up to 2100, incorporating Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The results show potential global well-being improvement, varying by SSP, with most countries reaching high human development under SSPs 1 & 5. However, the study highlights a crucial gap in existing climate models: inadequate accounting for climate change's feedback effects on well-being. The authors propose steps to improve well-being projections by integrating climate change feedback effects on HDI determinants and advocating for interdisciplinary collaboration.

Publisher

Humanities and Social Sciences Communications

Published On

Mar 28, 2024

Authors

Kedi Liu, Ranran Wang, Inge Schrijver, Rutger Hoekstra

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