Beliefs, economics, and spatial regimes in voting behavior: the

Index

Abstract

This study investigates the factors behind the Justice and Development Party's (AKP) continued electoral success in Turkey from 2007-2018, even amidst economic downturns. Using a comparative method combining Economic Voting Theory (EVT) and Center-Periphery (C-P) theory, and an original dataset encompassing socioeconomic factors and spatial data, the study finds that C-P factors (religious conservatism and ethnicity) are stronger predictors of AKP electoral performance than national or local economic conditions. The results reveal distinct spatial regimes based on ethnic identity, with no spatial spillovers in voting behavior.

Publisher

Humanities and Social Sciences Communications

Published On

Mar 14, 2023

Authors

Fırat Gündem

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