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Abstract
Aflatoxin contamination in maize, caused by *Aspergillus flavus*, is a significant health hazard. This paper presents an integrated meteorological-driven epidemiological model covering the entire maize supply chain. The model, parameterized using Bayesian computation and monthly time-series data from a South Central Indian maize processing plant, successfully replicated historical aflatoxin datasets. The model illustrates pre- and post-harvest dynamics, informing decisions about sourcing and intervention strategies to reduce aflatoxin contamination.
Publisher
npj Science of Food
Published On
Nov 18, 2023
Authors
Richard O.J.H. Stutt, Matthew D. Castle, Peter Markwell, Robert Baker, Christopher A. Gilligan
Tags
Aflatoxin
Maize
Epidemiology
Aspergillus flavus
Contamination
Meteorological model
Supply chain

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