Advanced monitoring of tailings dam performance using seismic noise and stress models

Tailings dams retain the waste by-products of mining operations and are among the world's largest engineered structures. Recent tailings dam failures highlight important gaps in current monitoring methods. Here we demonstrate how ambient noise interferometry can be applied to monitor dam performance at an active tailings dam using a geophone array. Seismic velocity changes of less than 1% correlate strongly with water level changes at the adjacent tailings pond. We implement a power-law relationship between effective stress and shear wave velocity, using the pond level recordings with shear wave velocity profiles obtained from cone penetration tests to model changes in shear wave velocities. The resulting one-dimensional model shows good agreement with the seismic velocity changes. As shear wave velocity provides a direct measure of soil stiffness and can be used to infer numerous other geotechnical design parameters, this method provides important advances in understanding changes in dam performance over time.