Bridgewater × Global Citizen Forecasting the Future: A Modern Economics Challenge 2025
📖 About the Challenge
We are living through one of the most significant global shifts in modern history, where new geopolitical, technological, and economic forces are reshaping the world. This transition, referred to by Bridgewater as Modern Mercantilism, marks a shift away from decades of globalization to a new world order.
The Forecasting the Future: A Modern Economics Challenge invites participants to dive into the evolving global economy and predict how this new era of Modern Mercantilism will transform trade, policy, and power on the global stage.
🗓 Opportunity Details
- Date Published: May 23, 2025
- Application Deadline: August 1, 2025
- Category: Contest
🏆 Benefits
- The top 5 winners will receive:
- An employment or internship opportunity at Bridgewater (pending successful completion of its interview requirements).
- A $25,000 prize.
✅ Eligibility Criteria
- Age Requirement: Open to anyone aged 18 or older.
- Background: No specific degree, qualifications, or background required.
- Ideal Candidate: Bold thinkers from all walks of life are encouraged to apply.
📋 Challenge Details
Part 1: Your Forecasts
- Goal: Create a minimum of 20 binary forecasts (yes/no outcomes) with assigned probabilities.
- Length: Each forecast must be one sentence with clear, objective resolution criteria. No page limit.
- Timeframes: Cover both short- and long-term timeframes (1 to 10 years).
- Focus: Ensure well-calibrated predictions—probabilities should match outcomes over time. All forecasts must relate to Modern Mercantilism.
Example:
- Good Prediction: "There is a 70% chance that the US effective tariff rate on imports will average over 10% from 2026–2028."
- Avoid: Vague predictions like "Political polarization will increase."
Part 2: Your Framework and Holistic Synthesis
- Goal: Present your big-picture view of how Modern Mercantilism will shape the next decade.
- Framework: Build a coherent framework tying together your forecasts into a broader understanding.
- Explain: Highlight key cause-and-effect dynamics driving global events.
- Reference Forecasts: Use a few impactful forecasts from Part 1 to illustrate your thinking.
- Focus: Emphasize clarity and structure—this section is about synthesis, not justifying each individual forecast.
- Visual Support: Charts or data may be included to support your framework.
- Length: Maximum of 3 pages.
Part 3: Analytical Appendix
- Goal: Back up your predictions with clear reasoning, relevant evidence, and thoughtful analysis.
- Flexibility: Use this section to explain reasoning, share models, or dive deeper into key parts of your analysis.
- Length: Recommended 10 pages or less, though exceptional analysis will be fully reviewed.
🗓 Application Date and Process
- Submission Deadline: August 1, 2025
- Notification: All applicants will be notified of the determination by early September 2025.
- How to Apply: Visit the application website to apply.
🌟 Sponsor Organization
This challenge is sponsored by Global Citizen.
🔗 Additional Resources
📅 Key Dates
- Application Deadline: August 1, 2025
- Notification of Results: Early September 2025
This is a unique opportunity to showcase your analytical skills, bold thinking, and understanding of global economic trends. Don't miss your chance to participate in this transformative challenge! 🌟
- The top 5 winners will receive an employment or internship opportunity at Bridgewater (pending successful completion of its interview requirements)
- Winners will receive $25,000.
