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Prediction of childhood overweight and obesity at age 10–11: findings from the Studying Lifecourse Obesity Predictors and the Born in Bradford cohorts

Medicine and Health

Prediction of childhood overweight and obesity at age 10–11: findings from the Studying Lifecourse Obesity Predictors and the Born in Bradford cohorts

N. Ziauddeen, P. J. Roderick, et al.

This study by Nida Ziauddeen, Paul J. Roderick, Gillian Santorelli, and Nisreen A. Alwan unveils powerful prediction models for childhood overweight and obesity at ages 10-11. Utilizing data from maternal and child health records, the research shows the effectiveness of routinely collected data in targeting early preventive interventions against childhood obesity.

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Playback language: English
Abstract
This study aimed to develop and externally validate prediction models for childhood overweight and obesity at age 10–11 using routinely collected data. A linked cohort of maternal and child health records was used for model development, and the Born in Bradford cohort for external validation. A model using only BMI at age 4–5 and child sex achieved an AUC of 0.82 (development) and 0.83 (validation). Adding maternal predictors (BMI, smoking, age, education, ethnicity, parity, employment status) improved AUC to 0.84 (development) and 0.85 (validation). The models were well-calibrated. Routinely collected data can effectively target early preventive interventions for childhood obesity.
Publisher
International Journal of Obesity
Published On
Aug 04, 2023
Authors
Nida Ziauddeen, Paul J. Roderick, Gillian Santorelli, Nisreen A. Alwan
Tags
childhood obesity
prediction models
BMI
maternal health
preventive interventions
public health
cohort study
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