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Increasing global precipitation whiplash due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions

Earth Sciences

Increasing global precipitation whiplash due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions

X. Tan, X. Wu, et al.

This research investigates the alarming rise in global precipitation whiplash, revealing a projected increase in frequency by over two and a half times by the century's end. Driven primarily by anthropogenic greenhouse gases, these extreme shifts pose significant risks. Conducted by Xuezhi Tan, Xinxin Wu, Zegin Huang, Jianyu Fu, Xuejin Tan, Simin Deng, Yaxin Liu, Thian Yew Gan, and Bingjun Liu.

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Playback language: English
Abstract
Precipitation whiplash, characterized by abrupt shifts between wet and dry extremes, poses significant risks. This study quantifies observed and projected changes in sub-seasonal precipitation whiplash, investigating the role of anthropogenic influences. Results project a 2.56 ± 0.16 times higher frequency of global precipitation whiplash by the end of the 21st century, with faster and more intense transitions. Anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHGs) are the primary driver, projected to increase whiplash occurrences by 55 ± 4% by 2079, while aerosols have a counterbalancing effect.
Publisher
Nature Communications
Published On
May 18, 2023
Authors
Xuezhi Tan, Xinxin Wu, Zegin Huang, Jianyu Fu, Xuejin Tan, Simin Deng, Yaxin Liu, Thian Yew Gan, Bingjun Liu
Tags
precipitation whiplash
climate change
anthropogenic influences
greenhouse gases
extreme weather
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