From the coast to the interior: global economic evolution patterns and mechanisms

It is well established that nighttime light brightness value, which is measured from satellites, correlates with economic prosperity across the globe. Researchers have diverged over whether economic factors cluster in coastal areas or move to interior areas. By using nighttime light data and applying the random forest algorithm to measure the proportion of global "near regions" GDP, it was seen that global GDP decreased from 67.25% in 2000 to 63.02% in 2018. This research reveals that under the continuous promotion of economic globalization, there is still a spatial imbalance of economic development between global "near regions" and "far regions"; however, economic factors are gradually shifting to interior areas and forming a "coastal remoteness" evolution pattern. Within the intercontinental range, there are obvious differences in the evolution patterns and spatial structure of economic development between the sub-regions. The reduction of overseas transportation costs and diseconomies of scale are the primary reasons for the evolution of "coastal remoteness" in global economic development. Our findings can facilitate future policymaking and the management of global coastal and interior areas, as well as establish new horizons for relevant research topics within the context of land and marine-coordinated development.

Xiaoming Jin, Weixin Luan, Jun Yang, Wenze Yue, Shulin Wan, Di Yang, Xiangming Xiao, Bing Xue, Yue Dou, Fangzheng Lyu, Shaohua Wang