Storm surges along low-lying, densely populated coastlines cause devastating impacts. This study presents storm tide return periods using a novel integration of two modeling techniques: ERA5 reanalysis for extratropical cyclones and synthetic tropical cyclones from the STORM dataset for tropical cyclones. The results show that including tropical cyclones more than doubles (from 78 million to 192 million) the global population exposed to a 1-in-1000-year coastal flood, revealing a 31% underestimation in previous studies.
Publisher
Communications Earth & Environment
Published On
Jun 29, 2021
Authors
Job C. M. Dullaart, Sanne Muis, Nadia Bloemendaal, Maria V. Chertova, Anaïs Couasnon, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Tags
storm surges
coastal floods
extratropical cyclones
tropical cyclones
population exposure
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